| Authors: |
Silver, Nate, 1978-
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| Material type: |
Book |
| Subject: |
Forecasting.
Forecasting -- Methodology.
Forecasting -- History.
Bayesian statistical decision theory.
Knowledge, Theory of.
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| Language: |
English |
| Publisher: |
New York : Penguin Press, 2012. |
| Description: |
534 p. : ill. ; 25 cm. |
| ISBN: |
9781594204111 159420411X (hbk.) |
| Notes: |
Includes bibliographical references and index. |
| Contents: |
A catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you. |
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| Summary: |
Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction. |